My Predictions for the 84th Academy Awards

I have not seen the all the films that earned nominations, but I have seen several of the most highly acclaimed films of 2011, including the following: The Descendants, Midnight in Paris, The Artist, Tinker Taylor Soldier Spy, Warrior, Moneyball, Margin Call, The Tree of Life, Girl With The Dragon Tattoo.

I have not seen these films yet: The Help, The Iron Lady, Beginners, Hugo

I have based my Oscar picks on my impressions of the films that I have seen, as well as several other factors, such as other awards won to date (Golden Globes, SAG, etc.), and more intangible reasons, such as how I think the Academy perceives the reputation and overall body of work of the actor/writer/director. The values and politics of the Academy certainly comes into play for some awards so I attempted to include that in my choices.

My favorite films of 2011 wereThe Artist and The Descendants and I think those two films will battle for most of the top awards, but there were several other strong films, including Moneyball, Midnight in Paris and The Tree of Life, among others, so I look forward to Academy Awards with great interest.

BEST PICTURE

The Artist

DIRECTOR

Michel Hazanavicius – The Artist

BEST ACTOR

George Clooney – The Descendants

UPDATE: I think momentum has swung. My new pick is:

Jean DuJardin – The Artist

BEST ACTRESS

Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady

SUPPORTING ACTOR

Christopher Plummer – Beginners

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Octavia Spencer – The Help

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

The Descendants

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Midnight In Paris

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