March Madness

The NCAA Men’s Basketball tournament has certainly been mad indeed so far. I love this event. I can’t say that there is any team sport event that I enjoy more. I rank it right up there with the NBA and NFL playoffs.

I’ve entered a couple of pools and I have three brackets in play. Here are my Final Four teams for each bracket:

1) Florida, UVA, Arizona, Louisville

2) Florida, Mich St., Arizona, Wichita St.

3) Florida, UVA, Arizona, Duke

I selected Florida to meet Arizona in all three of my brackets, with Florida winning the championship in all three brackets.

Obviously, I’m all in on FLA, as are a lot of other people this year. In retrospect I wish I picked another school to win in one of my brackets, but it was hard to go against the Gators. I just have a lot of confidence in Florida head coach Billy Donovan and his team. We’ll see, from here on in the road gets very tough.

Comic Con in San Diego needs to be expanded

Comic Con 2013Passes for Comic Con 2014 went on sale yesterday morning and sold out in 80 minutes. Because I was a past attendee of Comic Con I received an e-mail from Comic Con International inviting me to join the pool of people signing up to buy a pass for Comic Con 2014. I knew the odds were against me, but I figured take shot at it. So, I got up early on Saturday morning and signed in the “waiting room”. Unfortunately, I got shut out of the “random” selection process this time around. Of course, I was disappointed, but not surprised.

One by one, passes for all 4 and half days were sold out in short order. The Comic Con website sent notifications to all of us in virtual “waiting room ” with the status of passes for each day of the event. First Friday and Saturday were sold out, then Thursday and Wednesday’s “Preview Night” and finally the last day of the event, Sunday, was a goner too.

I don’t know exactly how many people came away empty handed, but I’m sure there were a lot. The demand for passes far, far exceeds the supply. It has been that way for years. A year or two ago Comic Con considered moving to other locations, ones that could accommodate even larger numbers than those which Comic Con currently attracts (about 130,000 attendees the last few years), such Los Angeles or Las Vegas, but Comic Con agreed to stay in San Diego for at least 5 more years when the city agreed to expand the downtown Convention Center. Work on the expansion of the Convention Center will start at the end of 2014 and should be finished in a few years.

The physical expansion of the Convention Center should help quite bit, but I think the length of the event itself should be expanded to 6 or 7 days. Some people who want to attend would probably still be turned away, but if the event ran 7 days a lot more people would have an opportunity to attend. What would the down side be? I don’t think the hotels, restaurants and bars in downtown San Diego would complain about the extra business. I think some of the residents of in the Gaslamp and East Village sections of downtown might not be thrilled with Comic Con being expanded for a few days, but the number of people negatively impacted would be relatively small. The vast majority of San Diegans wouldn’t notice a difference between a 4 1/2 day Comic Con and a 6 or 7 day Comic Con.

There are many other festivals of various kinds throughout the country that run a week or longer. Take SXSW for example, if South By Southwest in Austin, TX can run for 8 or 9 days why can’t Comic-Con?

The 86th Annual Academy Awards

I consider myself a pretty big film fan, but over the course of the last year I saw relatively few films. I only saw four of the nine films nominated for Best Picture. Frankly, many of the films received nominations seemed like they told stories that were a bit depressing, films such as 12 Years a Slave, Nebraska, Her, Dallas Buyers Club, Inside Llewyn Davis and Blue Jasmine. Of that group the only film that I saw was Dallas Buyers Club. I only recently went to see Dallas Buyers Club after reading the many positive of reviews of the performances that Matthew McConnaughy and Jared Leto gave in that film. I’m sure all the films I mentioned above are very good and I’ll probably see all of them in time, although probably on my iPad.

I did see Captain Philips, American Hustle and Gravity. I thought Captain Philips was a very solid, well made film. Tom Hanks delivered a strong performance in the title role and the rest of the cast was quite good as well.

I thought American Hustle was highly entertaining. I my initial reaction to this film was that just might win a couple of Oscars because it is full of terrific performances and Director David O. Russell distinguished himself yet again. Russell has certainly become one of the best directors working today. The film did win ten nominations and they are well deserved, but the other leading films out there are so strong it may not win any Oscars. In another year, perhaps, but not this year.

I thought Gravity was a film that largely lived up to the hype surrounding it. Bullock and Clooney were fantastic and the FX may have set a new standard.

So, if I haven’t seen all the films and performances how can I make predictions of which films and performers will win? Well, I never base my Oscar picks solely on what I think of the films and the individual performances nominated. I always try to gauge which films and performers will win based the results of the other major awards and honors.

BEST PICTURE: 12 Years a Slave This film has already won Best film honors from BAFTA, Golden Globe, AFI and many others. I have to think that the win streak will continue and that the Oscar for Best Picture will be added to the list.

BEST DIRECTOR: Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity

I thought Gravity was extremely well made. I made point of seeing this film on the big screen and I’m glad I did. I thought this space based drama was exciting and raised the special effects bar to a new height. I expect Gravity to win multiple Oscars for all things related to sound and image (Visual Effects, Sound Editing, Film Editing, Cinematography, Original Score)

BEST ACTOR: Matthew McConnaughy, Dallas Buyers Club McConnaughy delivers an outstanding performance as a rough and tumble Texas oil field worker who is diagnosed with AIDS in 1985. The film is based on a true story and McConnaughy’s character is initially a very unsympathetic, but turns out to be a very inspirational figure in the end because he is unwilling to accept the death sentence the doctors at the hospital give him when his HIV positive condition is discovered. McConnaughy’s character displays a great fighting spirit and resourcefulness in his quest to find drugs and treatments, both legal and illegal, to keep both himself and others in Dallas with AIDS alive as long as possible.


EDIT: I found out after the Awards that although Dallas Buyers Club is based on a true story, but that large parts it were totally fictional. The person that McConnaughy’s character was based on was not a cowboy, and was in fact bisexual, not hetrosexual so in that respect it is more understandable how he ended up with AIDS to begin with. The transsexual (played by Jared Leto) that McConnaughy partners with was a fictional character, as was a doctor (played by Jennifer Garner) that played a key role in helping McConnaughy’s character. That doesn’t diminish the fine performances all these actors gave, but it does diminish the film itself in my view. I felt the same way when I find out that important parts of the film Argo, which won Best Picture, were total fiction. Maybe Hollywood should describe these films like these as “Loosely Based” on the truth.

BEST ACTRESS: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine Blanchett is always solid and easily one the best actresses working today. She seems to be a lock for this award.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club Leto was very convincing in his role has a HIV positive transgendered person who forms a seemingly unlikely partnership with McConnaughy’s character to sell drugs and vitamins to AIDS victims in late 1980’s Dallas.

The girls in the Best Supporting Actress category should be thankful that the Academy did not put him in their category because he might well have won. (JUST KIDDING!! Calm down all you members of the PC Thought Police!!)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave Based on the posted odds this seems to the most competitive category. Looks like a race between newcomer Nyong’o and Hollywood Golden Girl Jennifer Lawrence. I’m going with Nyong’o because 12 Years seems to have more momentum behind it and that film addresses more serious subject matter. I thought Lawrence was very good in American Hustle (although I thought Amy Adams was even better), but I didn’t view her performance in AH as the type I would call classify as a strong Oscar contender.

POST OSCAR THOUGHTS

Well, that pretty much went as expected. All the favorites won, at least in the major categories. I really can’t say it was too much of a challenge to pick the Oscar winners this years. All in all, I think 2013 was a pretty strong year for films. In a less competitive year one of the films nominated for Best Picture may have swept the awards, but this year the split of major awards among leading films was justified because there were so many distinguished performances.

Is the iWatch going to be Apple’s next Big Thing?

As we draw closer and closer to the introduction of the Apple iWatch I have been giving this mysterious product some thought and wondering if it will have an impact similar to that of iPod, iPhone or the iPad.

Apple Monthly Chart
Apple Monthly Chart

Apple, as it usually does, has maintained a high degree secrecy around the development of this highly anticipated product.

I am guardedly optimistic about the iWatch. I think the iWatch will redefine the product category it is in in a way that is similar to the way iPod, iPhone and the iPad redefined their respective product categories. In the past Apple has studied products in a particular category for a fairly lengthy period before introducing their own and the blowing the competition out of the water. Take mp3 players, for example. Remember, there were many mp3 players on the market well before the iPod was introduced. Apple produced a product that mated best in class hardware with best in class software via iTunes and the rest is history. Total market domination was the result.

I really don’t consider any of the so called “smart watches” on the the market currently to be “must have” products. Pebble, Qualcomm, Samsung and a few others have introduced smart watches that are interesting in some ways, but really don’t offer features that I think most people find compelling.

I think the iWatch will offer a lot more capability than any smart watch currently on the market and I think it is logical to assume that the iWatch will be customizable via apps that will be available on iTunes. I also think the iWatch will be much more atheistically attractive than any of the current smart watches on the market. Of course, I am not privy to the design details and features of this product. I am simply basing my assumptions on Apple’s now well established record of innovation and beautiful industrial design.

It should be apparent soon after the iWatch has been released if it is a home run or not. If it is, it will probably be a good time to go long AAPL.

UFC 170: Rousey vs. McMann – Las Vegas

Woman’s Bantamweight: Ronda Rousey 8-0 (-420) vs. Sara McMann 7-0 (+375)

McMann won a Silver medal as wrestler in the 2004 Olympics and is probably the best athlete that Rousey has been faced with to date. However, McMann’s MMA game is simply not as well rounded as Rousey’s is, especially in view of RR’s improved striking. Ronda would probably like to win this fight in some manner other than securing an arm bar, just to show us all that she can. But Rousey is a very smart fighter and she will take what McMann gives her. If the arm bar is available then Rousey will take it and she won’t fool around because McMann is capable of winning this fight if RR lets her guard down.

Rousey wins by submission, 2nd Rd.

Light Heavyweight: Daniel Cormier 13-0 (-925) vs. Patrick Cummins 4-0 (+725)

This might be the most interesting fight of the evening. Patrick Cummins makes his UFC debut against one of the best fighters in all of MMA. Cummnins was working in a coffee shop in Dana Point, CA two weeks ago. Cormier was scheduled to fight Rashad Evans, but Evans had to withdraw due to knee injury suffered in training. Cummins was offered an opportunity to step in and he leaped at it. Cummins previously served a wrestling training partner for Cormier and claims he got the better of Cormier in training, when Cormier was preparing for the Olympics. Cummins is a very good athlete and earned All- American honors twice as a wrestler at Penn St. He has also won all 4 of his MMA fights in the old Strikeforce promotion.
Cummins may prove to be a capable UFC fighter, but I find it hard to believe he can win this fight with only about 10 days of preparation time. However, anything can happen in MMA and if I had to bet on this fight I would probably want to place a small bet on Cummins simply because of the payoff with Vegas making him the +725 underdog.

Cormier wins by TKO, 3rd Rd.

Welterweight: Rory MacDonald 15-2 (-295) vs. Demian Maia 18-5 (+265)

An important fight for two top ten welterweights coming off losses. The winner will remain in the hunt for a championship fight. Both are well rounded fighters, but MacDonald is 24 and Maia is 36. The loser may not see that opportunity for a long time, if ever. Maia has real shot if he can take this fight to ground and use his world class Jui-Jitsu (former world champion). That will tough task because MacDonald is quick, a great striker and has good take down defense. He is also very experienced for age and has trained for years with fellow Canadian , and UFC icon, Georges St. Pierre. Like GSP, MacDonald is also a very good wrestler, so even if Maia does manage to take MacDonald down he may not find him easy to deal with on the ground, yet that is where Maia would seem to have his best chance.

MacDonald wins by decision

Visit to New York City

20140213-063459.jpg

I made a trip to New York City and the Lehigh Valley in PA last week to visit family and friends. I had a great time in both places and took quite a few pictures. The picture above is one my favorites. I love this view of Lower Manhattan from the Brooklyn Bridge. The striking Freedom Tower, aka World Trade Center 1, has redefined the skyline. Great to see that building nearly complete after all these years. I have seen the building on prior visits to NYC, but this was the first time I have seen it since the top floors were completed. If you blow up the picture below you will notice that there is one small section of the top of the building that is still exposed. Glass panes are still being installed on the top eastern corner of WTC 1, but other than that the exterior of the building seems to be finished.

I know that the design of the WTC 1 has not received universal praise, but I like it. I think WTC 1 projects power and strength and that the new World Trade Center complex gives lower Manhattan a true 21st Century look.

Lower Man fr Brooklyn

I took the PATH train over to Hoboken to take some pictures of WTC 1 from the west side of the Hudson. I will post more pictures soon.

WTC 1 from Hoboken

SuperBowl XLVIII: Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos

Seattle Seahawks vs. Denver Broncos

Well, the Big Game is finally here and I can’t wait see this debate of Best Offense vs. Best Defense finally settled on the field. My initial assessment, right after Seattle defeated San Francisco in NFC Championship was that the Seahawks would not be able to contain Denver’s offense enough to win this game. However, after studying the stat’s and the match-ups and going back and forth on which team I would pick to win I have come to the conclusion that I have to give the Seahawks the edge. If I had one more day to think about I might very well change my mind again, but I’m going to stick to my guns here and pick the Seahawks to be the next Champ’s of the NFL. Picking Seattle was not an easy choice for me because I favored Denver to win the SB pretty much all season, going all the way back to the preseason, when I picked Denver to defeat San Francisco in my NFL preseason post on this blog.

I have not been a fan of either team in the past, so I really don’t have a dog in this fight. I admire players and coaches on both teams, but I really don’t think I have bias toward one team or the other. I would enjoy seeing Peyton Manning win another ring, but I also wouldn’t mind seeing Russell Wilson and Richard Sherman (Yes, I like Sherman) win a ring. Ditto, Pete Carroll and John Fox. They are all deserving. So, why did I change my pick? Well, like many others who have studied this game, I think that the winner of this game will in large part be determined by the outcome of the battle between Peyton Manning and the Bronco receivers vs. the Seattle secondary, the vaunted Legion of Boom. I don’t think the LOB can totally shut down QB Peyton Manning and his talented receivers, but the LOB and the rest of the Seahawks D can limit the production of Denver’s offense enough to put the game within reach of Seattle’s offense. The Seahawks may not have an offense is nearly as prolific as the Broncos, but it is clearly good enough win games against the top tier teams teams in the NFL when the Seahawks defense is playing at high level. I think San Francisco, the team I picked to win the NFC, is just as good an all around team as Denver and Seattle handled SF, albeit narrowly. This game too should be close, but this is another game in which the Seahawks can emerge victorious imo.

This is how I think the scoring may unfold….

DENVER: Peyton throws 2 TD’s, RB Knowshon Moreno rushes for a TD and Prater chips in with a FG

SEATTLE: Russell Wilson passes for 1 TD, Beast Mode (Marshawn Lynch) runs for a TD, the Seattle D produces a TD and the Seahawks kick 2 FG’s

If Denver is able to jump out to big lead in 1st half, it may spell doom for Seattle because I don’t think they really have what could be considered a quick strike offense, even with the return of Percy Harvin.

Denver must make sure they contain Russell Wilson, who possesses much greater running ability than the last two QB’s Denver faced in the playoffs. Philip Rivers and Tom Brady, although great passers, weren’t much of threat to bolt from the pocket and pick up significant yardage. Russell Wilson, OTOH, is very capable of tucking the ball and taking off for some big chunks of yards. Wilson tends to look to pass first and only run when he has to, but I think we may see a few designed run plays for him in this game.

We’ll see soon enough. May the best team win!!

Seattle 27, Denver 24

My Favorite Pictures of 2013 (Group I)

I took quite a few pictures during 2013 and over the course of the last few weeks I reviewed them several times and picked my top 10, which I am presenting below. This is something I’ve done for the past few years. I probably had about 30 or so pictures that I seriously considered for my top 10 and I really like many that did not make the cut, so I am going to present at least 10 of those pictures in a future post. In 2012 all my pictures were from the San Diego area. I did not leave California in 2013, but I did a bit more traveling within the California Republic, including trips to San Francisco and Los Angeles.

Balboa Park Trail
Balboa Park Trail
The view from 7th & Cedar, downtown San Diego.
The view from 7th & Cedar, downtown San Diego.
Super Yacht Luna in San Diego
Super Yacht Luna in San Diego
The Marina District in San Diego
The Marina District in San Diego
The San Diego Central Library
The San Diego Central Library
Tesla Charging Station at UTC Mall, San Diego
Tesla Charging Station at UTC Mall, San Diego
Sunset in December, Pt. Loma and the San Diego Bay.
Sunset in December, Pt. Loma and the San Diego Bay.
The view south from the top of Runyon Canyon, Los Angeles.
The view south from the top of Runyon Canyon, Los Angeles.
Entrance to Ocean Beach, San Francisco.
Entrance to Ocean Beach, San Francisco.
The Sutro District, San Francisco
The Sutro District, San Francisco